Ukraine: Russia stays out - for now.

Perhaps deterred by further sanctions, Russia has pulled back its horns and is set to abandon separatists Russians - for now. At least, that is what is reported in the international press.

President Putin is in Brazil, at the World Cup and then will meet with BRIC leaders. But, this writer has suspicions.

The Ukrainians have signed agreements with the West, continue their advances toward Donetsk (which has been virtually depopulated) and have stopped supplies from reaching the Crimea via land.

To be sure, Russia can supply Crimea via sea, but it is costly. And the West is egging on Ukraine to continue its claims to Crimea.

But, for a time, the Russians are staying home. We hear Russian leaders say that ties with the West are important and must be maintained. Even public opinion in Russia has backed off from an invasion, let alone an annexation of the Ukraine. It looks as if another group of brave men is about to make a last stand. If they do and are abandoned, Russia will suffer a great loss of face and its compatriots will be dissed elsewhere. That is why I believe that the current "peaceful bear" may be a part of a gambit. Did not Russia wait with  Crimea until the Winter Olympics were over? Now, Mr Putin is expected to show up at the World Cup closing ceremony as the host for the next World Cup. Hummm.