From the technical standpoint, it is easier to forecast gold prices from the GLD figures. GLD is an exchange traded bouillon fund. The first graph shows GLD forming a reverse head and shoulder
in 2009 prior to its breakout. The size of the head went from 89 to 94 and the advance in actual gold price was near $250/oz.
in 2009 prior to its breakout. The size of the head went from 89 to 94 and the advance in actual gold price was near $250/oz.
The second figure shows GLD recently. It is again doing a reverse head and shoulder. The size of the head goes from 104 to 112, which, using the proportions from 2009, would imply an increase of over $400/oz of gold or a top gold price of $1,500/oz. This, coincidentally, is the top price for 2010 that is predicted by the Cycle Theory. So, look for GLD to hit near 120 and gold to hit $1,500/oz.
The next graph down shows the divergence between GLD and TLT (20 yr Treasuries). TLT is tracing a head and shoulder formation. Though this form is difficult to analyse, it forecasts a drop in treasury note values.
The last figure is gold price. Even that shows a reverse head and shoulder, though the right shoulder is only halfway complete.
The fundamentals are that Greece needs 20-30 billion Euros to refinance its debt and they don't have it. While, Europeans talk about bailing out Greece, it is not happening.
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