Thursday, August 25, 2016

Silver: the latest dip.

Here is the graph of silver prices since the beginning of the current bull market:
 
 
There are several interesting features:
 
1. Silver price advances in waves;
2. After each upwave there is about a month of downdraft in prices;
3. The down draft goes below the 50 Day Moving Average.
 
We shall soon get an answer to the question I posed a few days ago: is the movement of silver exponential? If the movement is still linear then we can expect silver price to bottom at $17.5. If the movement has become exponential then silver hit bottom yesterday. If silver movement is still linear, the graph indicates a bottom at $17.5. One KWN author believes that silver retests its previous breakout price, which would be $18.
 
The other important point is just how high we can expect silver to go in the next upwave. My analysis of the graph indicates $23+.
 
NOTE! I have ignored the point of 21.5 in the beginning of July. If in fact it is a valid point then we may have an exponential increase in prices and the next upward spike may occur in the first days of October between $24 and $25.
 
These are my opinions and do not constitute an investment advice.
 
As you would expect, miners took a hit yesterday. FSM, for example, took a 15% hit.

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