Red wave or Blue wave?

The Drive by Media has been heralding a Blue wave, whereby the Dems will sweep out the Reps, take the House and remove Donald Trump as President.

This scenario was built on the so-called 'generic preference' poll where people are asked their preference between Republicans and Democrats. At one point the Democrats had a 13 point edge. Now, Democrats usually have an edge in such polls and had a 5-7% edge  even when they lost their majority during the Obama years.

The Democrats have three basic constituencies: 1. blacks (90-96%), 2. Hispanics (65% and that is why they want to legalize illegals) and young women (55-60%). Two other constituencies were organized labor and millenials.

Obama carried the millenials 60/40, but that edge evaporated as the Democrats adopted an anti-white racialist policy that instituted discrimination against white males and tried to re-educate them to lose maleness. As a consequence, white millenials flipped and this wiped out the Democrat edge among millenials.

The Democrat edge among labor has also disappeared due to the Democrat and even ruling class Republican preference for shipping industrial jobs out of this country. The policies adopted by Pres Trump and the GOP has reversed this tendency. Although the Drive-by-Media refuses to credit the Trump policies for the uptick in jobs, the people know.

Although it is too early to gage the effects of the "Walk away" movement, the poll that showed Pres Trump polling 29% among blacks had raised some eyebrows.

Dick Morris, a seasoned veteran of American politics, has stated that elections in  America have two different constituencies. In presidential election years, it is the personality and policies of the Presidential candidates that decides, while in non-Presidential years it is the stand of the parties. Thus, what forecasts the outcome of a non-Presidential year is the preference for parties and the by-elections since the last Presidential election.

Since the election of Donald Trump there have been ten elections for House seats. The Republicans have won 9 of them and were close in the tenth one. This, in spite of the full court press of the Media and the concentrated effort of the Democrat Party on one election at a time. More important, in the generic preference poll the Democrats' lead had shrunk to 2 percent. That forecasts a Dem loss in House seats. In Senate races, the Republicans could pick up between 4 to 10 seats. The only election the Republicans lost was the Alabama Senate race where people were persuaded that the Republican candidate had to be defeated because he kissed and groped a couple of his dates.

The Dems are placing their hope in the Media generating anti-Trump sentiments. But in the elections just concluded, Trump-endorsed candidates won every election, and the Cortez-endorsed radicals and Socialists went down to defeat. We will see.