Thursday, September 20, 2012

Europe heading into recession and China in trouble

Eurozone PMI points to recession. Eurozone manufacturing PMI increased to a preliminary 46 in September from 45.1 in August, although composite output fell to a 39-month low of 45.9. The flash PMI is consistent with GDP of -0.6% in Q3, "sending the region back into a technical recession," says Markit. German manufacturing PMI improved but still contracted, while France's manufacturing output slumped to 39.8 vs 45.3, suggesting that the country is also heading for recession.
Chinese PMI improves but still continues to shrink. China's flash HSBC PMI rose to 47.8 in September from 47.6 in August, which, if confirmed, would represent the 11th straight month of contraction in the country's manufacturing sector. The depressing figures have been weighing on markets since they came out.

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