Wednesday, November 25, 2015

War cycles heat up.

Another great source of explanations of what is going on is Larry Edelson's war cycles theorem.


Right now, the cycles of war are heating up.


1. The Turkey-Russia embroglio. Russia has been bombing Assad's enemies, which includes some Turkomens is Syria. Turkey let it be known that it will not accept people related to the Turkish people be treated such. So, Turkey shot down a Russian fighter bomber as it crossed a spit of Turkish territory. To rub it in, the Turkomens machine-gunned the ejected pilots, killing one while he was descending. When the Russians sent rescue helicopters to rescue the pilots, the Turkomens shot one down with an American-made TOW missile. The Russians then dispatched the Moscow missile frigate to guard their planes and helicopters over the battle area (Lattakia province). The Turks are put on notice that any further shooting will be reciprocated. See how this is escalating? Now, Russia's Mediterranean fleet passes through the Bosporus. Will Turkey try to stop them? Will Russia the try to seize the Bosporus? Turkey is part of NATO and can invoke the NATO charter of defense. That is the recipe for war between NATO and Russia.


2. The Russia-Ukraine imbroglio.
Russia cut off gas deliveries to Ukraine, because the Ukrainians did not pay their gas bill. In turn, Ukraine issued a directive forbidding Russian planes to fly over Ukrainien territory. That cuts off Transnistria (an Eastern part of Moldova) from Russian support. You just know that Russia will do something. What?

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